Intelligence company says terrorists forced to shift focus to easier targets

(Analyst's note: This is troubling report, especially for those who travel.)

AP - WASHINGTON - .... Al Qaeda is changing from a centralized organization with global goals to regional “franchises’’ with more parochial aims and strong grass-roots support, according to a report yesterday from STRATFOR, a Texas-based online intelligence publisher also known as Strategic Forecasting. These smaller cells get less training and less money, so they set their sights lower. ....

According to STRATFOR, the number of attacks on hotels has more than doubled since the 9/11 attacks in 2001 when compared with the eight years before. Injuries and deaths caused by those attacks have increased six times over the same comparison period.

A hotel is the ultimate soft target for Islamic extremists: a fixed location, lots of human traffic, and shallow security perimeters. Hotels also attract many Westerners, giving militants high probabilities of killing or injuring large numbers of them in a single attack, according to the report.

Although hotel security guards try to monitor suspicious people and activities, extremists know the way around it is to check in as a guest, giving them full access to the grounds. As an example, the report said, the bombers who carried out the July 17 twin suicide attacks at the J.W. Marriott and Ritz-Carlton hotels in Jakarta, Indonesia, had registered two days earlier. ....